It's shaping up to be another very quiet week across New England. The setup isn't as perfect as last week, however, as there will be a couple features worth watching throughout the week. A stark warming trend is also likely, bringing above average warmth back to New England later this week.
MONDAY
High pressure passes to the south of New England on Monday, leading to a sunny and quiet start to the day. A weak disturbance will pass through New England for the second half of the day, bringing an increase in clouds in the afternoon. Scattered showers will move through western New England in the afternoon before spreading eastward in the evening. Showers will be spotty at best, so not everyone will get one. Other than these brief and spotty showers, it will be a quiet and comfortable day with variable clouds.
TUESDAY
Monday's weak disturbance will exit to the east in the morning, pulling a cold front across the region. High pressure begins to build in from the west behind the front. With drying conditions, skies will be mainly sunny across New England. Temperatures will be around seasonable levels, though cold air aloft will keep the higher terrain cooler with more clouds around, similar to this past Sunday.
WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY
For the rest of the week, high pressure looks to be in control of New England's weather, leading to a continuation of dry, quiet and mainly sunny weather for the rest of the week. A low pressure system will pass well to the north of New England, which may try to push a backdoor cold front into northern New England by Friday morning.
This front will try to suppress the ridge of high pressure farther south, but the ridge does look to hold across New England late this week, keeping dry weather around. This front may spark more clouds and a couple showers across Maine on Friday.
This week will feature a stark warming trend as the week goes on, with each day a notch warmer than the last. The warmth will likely peak on Friday, with temperatures into the 80s for most of New England, and southern New England potentially pushing well into the 80s. Humidity will be on the rise as well, but should get held in check, so oppressive heat is not expected.
Similar to last week, this week will be a favorable week for radiational cooling at night. With high pressure overhead leading to mainly clear skies, along with light winds and low humidity, temperatures will be able to bottom out by the mornings. Morning lows are still looking to run in the 40s north to mid 50s south through the week despite the warming daytime highs.
WEEKEND
Heading into the weekend, the high pressure over New England is currently looking to hold up. This would continue both dry, tranquil conditions along with the warmer temperatures through the weekend. There is some uncertainty with the fact that the remnants of what will become Tropical Storm Francine will be working northward this weekend.
The strength of the ridge over New England is currently looking to keep this system southwest of New England, but the sheer fact that there's a (former) tropical system working through the center of the country bears watching the trends through the week.
That backdoor cold front will also still be around heading into the weekend, but, again, the overall strength of the high pressure overhead should continue the dry weather assuming the trends with Francine continue to keep that storm away. High temperatures look to run warm, but with the aforementioned weather features around, there is uncertainty in just how much warmth will carry over into the weekend.
BEYOND
Long range guidance continues to depict a trough-in-the-west-ridge-in-the-east pattern continuing to set up. This would favor generally warmer temperatures to continue. This is supported by the Climate Prediction Center's 8-14 day outlook, showing warmer times in the east with cooler times along the west coast.
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